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Price for Chelsea goes up with US interest key

When Chelsea were put up for sale the gloom and doom merchants were out in force saying that the club would not go for anywhere near the original asking price of £3bn.   In fact there is plenty of credible competition, particularly from those already involved in sports franchises in the United States with cash to spare and few opportunities there.

The end of globalisation is already being asserted in the wake of the war in Ukraine.   This may apply generally, but as I argued in my book Political Football soccer is a special case.   Some want clubs as a trophy asset, but others sees the possibility of securing a capital return, despite being warned off by the Financial Times.

The need for a quick sale — with government involvement — combined with uncertainty about how to value a club who have been so generously subsidised by their owner for 19 years but still needs to redevelop their stadium, led most football finance experts to predict a price tag closer to £2 billion.

But that appears to have underestimated the global interest in buying the reigning and European and world champions, and it now seems the club’s many suitors will have to raise their bids closer to £3 billion ($4 billion) — a sum that would easily beat the $3.35 billion (£2.5 billion) Joseph Tsai paid for the NBA’s Brooklyn Nets and the Barclays Center home arena in 2019.

That is the largest cheque ever written for a sports franchise until now, with the next biggest deals — baseball’s New York Mets, Houston Rockets of the NBA and NFL franchise the Carolina Panthers — grouped around the $2 billion mark. 

Fans support a club and who do not like the American term of ‘franchise’, but Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United are already in US ownership.   Their owners have experience in franchises in various sports in the United States.   Fans of Arsenal and Manchester United would question whether their clubs have benefitted.

American bank Raine is aiming to whittle down the bidders to a shortlist of three or four by the end of this week. Those parties will then be invited to make improved final offers, with a winner chosen by the second week in April.

The bank will then ask the UK government for a second licence — an exemption from the UK’s sanctions rules — to allow the sale of the asset. This effectively gives the Foreign Office and Treasury a veto over the deal, another complicating factor in the process.

That said, the government has already made it clear it does not want to see Chelsea go out of business, so a quick but orderly change of ownership is the desired outcome.   Their disappearance would harm the Premier League globally and there are a lot of voters among Chelsea fans.

In terms of who the new owner might be, there are four bids that appear to have the inside track. They are the syndicate of investors assembled by Los Angeles Dodgers co-owner Todd Boehly, who seem to have the most money; a bid led by the Ricketts family, who own the Dodgers’ fellow baseball club Chicago Cubs; an Anglo-American group involving Sir Martin Broughton and Crystal Palace co-owners Josh Harris and David Blitzer; and an offer from NFL side New York Jets’ owner Woody Johnson.

Others with a chance of making the shortlist include a bid funded by British private equity firm Centricus and one led by British property developer Nick Candy, who is backed by South Korean investors. A bid from the Saudi Media Group is not considered to be among the frontrunners.

 

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