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Burnley face tough challenges in the top flight

Life has certainly been more of a rollercoaster for Clarets fans since Alan Pace took over the club in December 2020, when his company ALK Capital purchased an 84% majority shareholding, as his tenure has so far included two relegations and two promotions.

The last available accounts for Burnley are from the 2023/24 season, which means that they are a full year out of date, but they are still relevant for our analysis, as they neatly illustrate the club’s financial status in the Premier League.

Despite promotion to the Premier League, Burnley still lost £28m before tax, though this improved from a £36m loss in the Championship. Revenue more than doubled from £65m to £134m, while profit from player sales increased from £11m to £15m. Burnley have rarely generated big money from player trading, only twice making more than £15m in the last decade. Indeed, their profit was £7m or less four times in this period.  However, this was largely offset by a steep increase in operating expenses, which rose £56m (51%) from £110m to £166m, while net interest payable shot up from £7m to £17m.

The main driver of Burnley’s revenue growth was broadcasting, which rose £63m from £48m to £111m, due to the far more lucrative TV deal in the Premier League. The year-on-year increase would have been even higher if Burnley had not benefited from a parachute payment in the Championship.  There was also good growth in commercial, which increased £5.7m (69%) from £8.4m to £14.1m, though match day was only slightly higher, up £0.2m (2%) from £8.7m to £8.9m.  broadcasting remains the most important revenue stream, accounting for 83% of total revenue with commercial and match day only contributing 11% and 7% respectively.

Burnley’s £28m pre-tax loss was in the bottom half of the Premier League in 2023/24, in stark contrast to the other two relegated clubs, who both posted net profits, Luton Town £49m and Sheffield United £4m.  That said, many clubs reported much larger losses, led by Manchester United £131m, Aston Villa £86m, Bournemouth £66m and Liverpool £57m.

Burnley’s £28m loss was one of the worst results for a club in its first season after promotion to the Premier League, only better than Aston Villa (2019/20) £99m, Fulham (2020/21) £94m and Nottingham Forest (2022/23) £67m.

Burnley have lost money two seasons in a row, adding up to £64m, which is a major change from the club’s traditional sustainable model.   In their last six years in the Premier League, they only posted a loss on one occasion – and that was just £3m in 2020/21, a season ravaged by COVID. In that period the club generated an impressive £111m profit.

As always, Burnley’s average attendance was higher in the Premier League, rising 6% from 19,953 to 21,153, which we believe was the club’s best for over 60 years.  Nevertheless, Burnley’s attendance was the fourth lowest in the Premier League, only above Brentford 17,082, Luton Town 11,276 and Bournemouth 11,108. Their crowds are very small for the top flight, where no fewer than seven clubs enjoyed attendances over 50,000, led by Manchester United with nearly 74,000.

Burnley’s £14m commercial income was the third lowest in the Premier League, only above the other relegated clubs, Sheffield United £12m and Luton Town £10m.   The gap to the Big Six clubs is absolutely huge, as four clubs earned more than a quarter of a billion Pounds, namely Manchester City £345m, Liverpool £308m, Manchester United £303m and Tottenham £255m.

The jury is very much out on whether acquisition of a minority stake by former NFL star JJ Watt and his wife, Kealia, a professional soccer player, will help the club to replicate the commercial success of Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney at Wrexham.

Wages

Following promotion, Burnley’s wage bill wages increased by £35m (62%) from £58m to £93m, but the underlying increase was even higher, as the previous season would have included a significant promotion bonus, which was likely to have been at least £10m.  Even after this steep growth, Burnley’s £93m wage bill was the third lowest in the Premier League, only above the other relegated clubs, Sheffield United £64m and Luton Town £57m. These figures were all depressed by not paying a survival bonus.

Of course, the elite clubs were out of sight, e.g. the top five clubs all had wage bills more than £300m (Manchester City £413m, Liverpool £386m, Manchester United £365m, Chelsea £338m and Arsenal £328m).

Burnley’s performance on the pitch was pretty much in line with their wages, as their 19th place in the league was one worse than their wages ranking of 18th.

Burnley have ramped up their activity in the transfer market, as their £203m outlay in the last three years was more than twice as much as the £81m in the preceding 3-year period.   While Burnley’s gross spend was around a quarter of a billion Pounds in the last five years, this still only placed them 17th in the Premier League. In this period, four clubs spent more than £900m: Chelsea £1.7 bn, Arsenal £992m, Manchester City £970m and Manchester United £918m.  So far this summer, the club has brought in Loum Tchaouna, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Quilindschy Hartman, Zian Flemming, Kyle Walker, Max Weiss and Jacob Bruun Larsen for around £70m.

Debt and interest payments

Burnley’s gross financial debt further increased by £10m from £102m to £112m, comprising £92m bank loans, up from £70m, and £20m factored debts (secured on transfers receivable), down from £31m.

Having been debt-free for many years under the former owners, Burnley took out a £65m loan with MSD, Michael Dell’s investment firm, in December 2020 “following transactions linked to the acquisition of the club”, i.e. akin to a leveraged buy-out.  The £92m bank loans are mainly short-term in nature with £82m due to be repaid within a year.

In addition, the loans have been taken out at fairly horrific interest rates: 8.5% fixed, SONIA + 7.5% and 12.75%. The interest on the latter £30m loan was particularly high, as it was unsecured, though was converted into a secured loan in September 2024.

Burnley’s debt is entirely owed to third parties, so they had the fifth highest external debt in England, only behind Tottenham, Everton, Manchester United and Liverpool.

Looking at Burnley’s cash flow since Pace arrived is quite instructive. In the last four years, almost all of the club’s £125m available cash has either come from dipping into cash reserves £72m or by taking on bank debt £47m.

The majority has gone on £51m player purchases (net), though £30m has gone to other group companies. Another £22m was shelled out on interest payments, which is much more than the £13m invested in infrastructure, while £9m was used to cover operating losses.

Burnley’s auditors have noted a “material uncertainty” around the club’s ability to continue as a going concern” if player sales and receipts from the group are materially less than forecast. This is clearly not ideal, though many clubs include such a comment in their accounts without ending up in administration.

Burnley remain a club that has to overcome many financial challenges.  It will therefore be tough to survive in the Premier League, where their budget will again be one of the smallest, though Burnley will fight hard to avoid picking up the tag of a “yo-yo” club.

Realistically speaking, they will have to invest a fair amount this summer to give themselves a reasonable chance of being competitive in the top flight, but at the same time they already carry a lot of debt, so they cannot afford to go crazy.

It’s a tough one, but I have always enjoyed my visits to Turf Moor, an authentic ground, and wish the Clarets well.

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