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Why are Chelsea worth so much?

Why did Chelsea go for the price it did when football finance guru Kieran Maguire calculates its real worth at £2.3 billion?   (Although this is based on a comparison with Manchester United which would some would argue is invalid given their recent poor performance).

One answer is scarcity. Chelsea ranked eighth in revenue in last year’s Deloitte Money League. None of the rest of the clubs in the top 10 have changed ownership or even been publicly for sale in the last 10 years (the most recent is seventh-ranked Paris Saint-Germain, acquired by Qatar Sports Investments in 2011).

The top three ranked clubs — Barcelona, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich — are all governed by fan or member models that prevent a private takeover. Opportunities to buy European football clubs of Chelsea’s size, with a huge international profile and a recent track record of success at the elite level, are extremely rare.

European football clubs are cheap

In comparison to US sports franchises, European football clubs are relatively cheap to buy. That even goes for Chelsea who, at £2.5 billion, sold for approximately five times their revenue; in recent years it has been common for NFL or NBA franchises to command prices of between seven and 10 times their revenues in order to change hands.

In the specific case of Clearlake — who The Athletic understands will own approximately 62 per cent of Chelsea and joint-control rights with Boehly’s group — it also helps that European football is a significantly less regulated environment. Private equity firms are not allowed to own majority stakes in NBA, MLB or NHL teams, and the NFL does not allow private equity investment at all.

But the primary reason why a sale price of £2.5bn was considered reasonable by all of the most serious Chelsea bidders is because they believe football’s financial pie is going to get a lot bigger. 

The Athletic has been told that Chelsea’s new owners believe this growth can be achieved by smart investments in the club’s infrastructure — namely, modernising and expanding Stamford Bridge — as well as placing greater emphasis on the academy to help ensure the men and women’s first teams continue to succeed. This continued success is expected to power increases in commercial revenue, while positioning the club to earn a greater share of the benefits from more lucrative broadcast and digital streaming agreements.

Virtual reality attendance?

Maguire says, “What they’re hoping is that someone is going to shell out for a virtual reality headset and that they’ll be willing to pay extra to have the matchday experience of effectively sitting in a seat at Stamford Bridge. They are convinced there are lots of people out there willing to do that, and the technology is almost there. That could be one of the additional revenue streams.

In the short term, there is some low-hanging financial fruit for Boehly and Clearlake to get their teeth into. Chelsea’s bloated wage bill — £333 million according to the accounts published in December — contains plenty of fat to trim, while the £120 million that Abramovich paid out to compensate sacked managers and their various backroom staffs over 19 years of ownership is a powerful reminder to the new regime of the financial benefit of stability.

 

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