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Leeds represent the UK's biggest one club city

2023/24 was the first season at Leeds under the ownership of 49ers Enterprises, who assumed full control of the club at the end of the 2022/23 campaign after adding the 56% held by Andrea Radrizzani’s Aser Ventures to their existing 44% minority stake, with Paraag Marathe becoming chairman.

Leeds United’s pre-tax loss significantly widened from £34m to £61m, as revenue dropped £62m (33%) from £190m to £128m following relegation, exacerbated by profit from player sales more than halving from £73m to £34m.  This was partly offset by the club cutting expenses by £92m (31%) from £296m to £204m, though net interest payable significantly increased from £1m to £18m.

The main driver of Leeds’ £62m revenue decrease was broadcasting, which basically halved in the Championship, falling by £58m from £112m to £54m as “a direct result of relegation from the Premier League”. Commercial income was also down, but only fell £5m (10%) from £48m to £43m.  In contrast, gate receipts actually slightly increased, rising £0.7m (2%) from £29.9m to £30.6m, which was an impressive feat after relegation.

Despite the steep reduction following relegation, Leeds’ £128m revenue was the highest in the Championship by some distance, ahead of the two clubs that went down at the same time, Leicester City £105m and Southampton £85m.  In fact, Leeds’ revenue last season is also the highest ever in the Championship, again ahead of Leicester. These are the only two clubs that have ever generated more than £100m in England’s second tier, far above Newcastle United’s £86m in 2016/17.

The vast majority of clubs in the Championship lose a lot of money, but Leeds’ £61m was the worst in the league last season, a lot more than Ipswich Town £39m, WBA £34m and Stoke City £26m.  In fact, Leeds’ £61m pre-tax loss is the fourth highest ever recorded in the Championship, only “beaten” by Stoke City £88m (2019/20), Aston Villa £69m (2018/19) and Leeds themselves with £62m in 2019/20.

Leeds have only once been profitable in the last decade – and that was just £1m back in 2016/17. Since then, they have posted losses seven years in a row, amounting to £231m. This period included the club’s largest ever loss of £62m in 2019/20, when they invested big sums to help secure promotion.   However, they also contrived to lose money in all three of their seasons in the Premier League, adding up to £82m, so promotion to the top flight is not always as beneficial as people might expect.  In fairness, Leeds were adversely impacted by COVID during this period with the club advising that this caused a loss of £43m, split between £9m in 2019/20 and £34m in 2020/21.

Player sales and loans

Leeds have traditionally not done very well with player trading, making only £76m in the 13 seasons up to 2021/22, but there has been a dramatic change since then with £107m profit in the last two years.   The club record £73m in 2022/23 was due to a couple of big money deals, as England international Kalvin Phillips went to Manchester City, while Brazilian winger Raphinha moved to Barcelona.

This should be blown out of the water in 2024/25, as the club has sold a lot of talent, including Georginio Rutter to Brighton, Crysencio Summerville to West Ham, Glen Kamara to Rennes and Marc Roca to Real Betis.  Most painfully, they also sold local lad Archie Gray to Tottenham for a reported £40m, though this represented pure profit, as he was an Academy product. Marathe admitted, “There are certain trade-offs we have to make.”

Leeds have also moved out quite a few players on loan, which had the benefit of lowering the wage bill, while also reducing their value in the books, thus making it more likely to realise a profit on future sales.

Leeds’ average attendance slightly slipped from 36,566 to 35,989, but this still represented an excellent performance in the lower division, which the club attributed to its “unwavering support”. Crowds have shot up 60% since 22,448 in 2015/16.

The club recently announced a ticket price increase for the 2025/26 campaign, including a chunky 14% for the cheapest adult tickets. This was only the third increase in 12 years, but prices have gone up a lot in recent times.   There was no general rise last season, but the club began a process of gradually equalising pricing over the course of several seasons, which saw some fans facing an increase of up to 12%.

Elland Road has a relatively small capacity of just under 38,000, while the club has over 25,000 people on its season ticket waiting list, so it is not surprising that they have plans to expand the stadium to 53,000, especially given that 49ers Enterprises have experience in stadium development.  This could ultimately increase capacity to 60,000, which would enable them to compete with the moneyed elite, especially if they focus on corporate seats, hospitality and a multi-use stadium.

Leeds’ commercial revenue last season set a new all-time record for the Championship, overtaking their own £34m in 2019/20. The Yorkshire club fills four of the top six places in this ranking.  Chief executive Angus Kinnear said, “The strong commercial performance continues to illustrate the potential of Leeds United being the only club in the United Kingdom’s third biggest metropolitan area. This should prove a structural competitive advantage that can be leveraged to secure Premier League status over the long term.”   He is right to emphasise the status of the city as a vibrant regional capital.

Wage bill

Leeds’ wage bill was cut by £62m (42%) from £146m to £84m, as the club rebalanced in the Championship, thanks to relegation clauses and the departure of some high earners.  The reduction was also due to a steep decrease in management pay-offs from £9.5m (Jesse Marsch and Javi Gracia) to just £161k. If these exceptional items are excluded, wages were down £52m (38%) from £136m to £84m.  Despite the fall, Leeds’ £84m wage bill was still the second highest in the Championship, only below Leicester City’s £107m, but just ahead of Southampton £81m, then a big gap to Norwich City £52m.

Unlike costs associated with the squad, Leeds’ other expenses increased following relegation, rising by £4m (10%) from £44m to £48m, a new high for the club.  Fans don’t often pay much attention to this cost category, but it has more than doubled in the last five years, due to higher inflation, especially for services and utilities.   Leeds had the highest other expenses in the Championship.

The narrative at Leeds for quite some time is that they have relied on financing to pay their way: £281m from the owners (£191m share capital and £90m loans) plus another £32m from the banks. This has mainly been spent on purchasing players £180m (net), covering operating losses £89m, investing in infrastructure £33m and paying £17m interest.     In the last four years, i.e. since their promotion to the Premier League in 2019/20, Leeds’ owners have put in £221m of funding, including £158m last season alone. This featured £170m of share capital from 49ers Enterprises

As well as becoming the club’s shirt sponsor, in May 2024 Red Bull bought a minority stake (reportedly 10%) in Leeds United.   This move has caused some concern among the fans, given Red Bull’s usual approach is to go for a full “rebrand” of a club, e.g. RB Leipzig, Red Bulls Salzburg and New York Red Bulls.

There have also been reports recently that 49ers Enterprises are interested in acquiring Scottish club Rangers, though the Scottish Football Association is yet to sign off on any deal.  If a takeover were to be completed, this would raise all sorts of questions about how the multi-club ownership structure would operate. Given that Rangers have a greater chance of qualifying for the Champions League (in what is effectively a 2-club league), might Leeds even become a feeder club to the Scottish giants?

Leeds’ American owners have attempted to put supporters’ minds at rest, stating that any addition to its portfolio would only help to bring brands together and apply best practices, so there should be no overlap.

The biggest one club city in the UK

Leeds stand a good chance of securing promotion, either automatically or via the play-offs, as they are currently in third place, only two points behind the leaders, Burnley.  However, if they do miss out, then their challenge would become more difficult, as their parachute payments would further reduce next season.

The good news is that 49ers Enterprises have demonstrated their commitment by funding the hefty loss and the investment in the squad with a sizeable capital injection, but the worry is that they might get bored with the project if Leeds don’t get back to the Premier League any time soon.

Leeds is the biggest one club city in the UK with an incredible fan base that provides strong support, both from the stands and from a financial perspective, so it probably “deserves” to be in the top flight.  However, notwithstanding those advantages, it’s incredibly difficult to get out of the Championship, so few Leeds’ fan will be counting their chickens at this stage.

 

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